Methodology of determining the probability of firing the enemy target by the unit

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5759013

Keywords:

methodology, combat potential, probability of firing, effectiveness, means of fire, successful shots

Abstract

Technological development of the warring parties, the introduction of new forms and methods of armed struggle, the trend of transition to a network-centric war necessitate the search for new approaches to evaluating the effectiveness of units in carrying out combat tasks. The combat effectiveness will largely depend on a detailed assessment of the capabilities of the available weapons of the warring parties. Therefore, the improved methodology for determining the probability of firing by the unit is based on the most acceptable algorithm based on probability theory. The proposed partial methodology, based on known methods for determining the probability of firing, the number of weapons samples and their tactical and technical characteristics, allow to determine the number of successful shots fired by the warring parties during the battle. Taking into account the conditions specified in the improved methodology, the probability of firing the enemy target by the unit is determined, taking into account its counteraction. The practical value of the improved methodology is to enable the unit commander to adjust his decision taking into account the assessment of the effectiveness of the firing means at his disposal. At the same time, the improved methodology can be a part of the mathematical model of the targeted unit against enemy targets, which is based on the method of two functions.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Collection of Tactical Calculations with Examples. (2018) Kyiv: Ivan Cherniakhovskyi NDUU, 96 p.

Aliev, A., Bairamov, A. (2018). Determining the Combat Potential of a Military Formation. Collection of scientific works of the Center for Military and Strategic Studies of the National Defence Universityof Ukraine named after Ivan Cherniakhovskyi №3 (64) 121-130 p.

Bielieskov, M. (2021). Modern Russian Method of Warfare: Theoretical Foundations and Practical Implementation: Analytical Report. Kyiv: NISSD. 29 p.

Senatorov, M., Senatorov, V., Kuchynskyi, A., Derkach, I. (2020). The influence of Human Factor on Combat Effectiveness of Small Arms with Optical Sight. Armament and Military Technology. №1(25). 19-23 p.

Gubin, S. Firing Effectiveness of combat vehicles and small arms : textbook. 2012, Novosibirsk : SGGA,. 158 p.

Droban, O., Zhogalskyi, E. (2018). Approaches to Evaluating the Effeciency of Small Arms Firing. Military-technical collection. No (19) 19-23 p.

Ishchenko, D., Kyryliuk, V., Naumchak, O., Starikov, A. (2019). Predicting the Effectiveness of Fire Defeat when Assessing the Enemy's Ability to Disorganize the Control of Troops. Collection of scientific works of ZhVI. Issue (16). 155-164 p.

Demianchuk, B., Klimenko V., Kudriavtsev V. (2018). Methodology of Evaluation of Combat Effectiveness of Fire Support Means of the Air Assault Units. Military Academy (Odesa). Collection of Scientific Works. No. 2 (10). 140-146 p.

Andreichenko, G. (2012). Improvement of the Shared Assessment Methodology of Combat Effectiveness. Collection of Scientific Works of Kharkiv National University of the Air Force named after Ivan Kozhedub, Issue 3(32). P. 2-4.

Wentzel, E. (1972). Operation Research. Moscow : Soviet Radio, 552 p.

Wentzel, E. (1964). Introduction to the Study of Operations. Moscow : Soviet Radio, 387 p.

Abchuk, V. (1979). Handbook on Operation Research. Moscow : Voenizdat. 368 p.

Makeiev, V., Pushkarev, Y., Lyapa, M. (2019). Using Probability Theory in Artillery. Sumy: Sumy State University, 494

Fendrikov, N. Yakovlev, V. (1971). Methods of Calculating Combat Effectiveness of Armaments. Moscow: Voenizdat, 224.

Downloads


Abstract views: 77
Downloads: 54

Published

2021-06-30

How to Cite

Oliinyk, V., Pechorin, O., & Shynkarenko, O. (2021). Methodology of determining the probability of firing the enemy target by the unit. Political Science and Security Studies Journal, 2(2), 103-107. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5759013

Issue

Section

Articles