The state military and economic resilience in the context of modern threats to the national security of Ukraine

Abstract

The article is dedicated to the research of the Ukraine’s military and economic resilience (MER) under the conditions of a prolonged military conflict and modern challenges to national security. The emphasis is placed on the main results analysis of the scientific works by the National Institute for Strategic Studies: “Current Challenges and Threats to Ukraine's Economic Security under Martial Law” and “Ukraine’s Economic Security in Conditions of Prolonged War”. This highlights the key aspects of ensuring MER, in particular, the need to improve the regulatory framework that defines the principles of strategic planning, resource mobilisation, protection of critical infrastructure, and coordination between the defence sector and the economy. The work focuses on the multifactorial nature of modern threats, including military, economic, social, and others, which interact and reinforce each other. The challenges for the Ukrainian economy arising from the conditions of prolonged war are analysed, including inflation, budget deficit, dependence on agricultural products and metallurgy export, as well as insufficient economy diversification. In this context, ways to enhance MER are proposed by adapting legislation to modern challenges, including through production potential development, the economic mobilisation mechanisms implementation, and international assistance engagement. Particular attention is paid to the study of recommendations for ensuring macroeconomic stability, enhancing social security, developing the defence and industrial complex, strengthening the financial system, diversifying foreign economic relations, and restoring critical infrastructure. The author highlights general directions for improving recommendations on determining the main ways to enhance Ukraine’s MER in the face of modern challenges and threats to national security, in the analysed provisions context of the National Institute for Strategic Studies’ scientific works and also emphasizes the importance of coordination between state structures, the private sector, and international partners. The research findings underline the necessity of implementing a systematic risk management approach and the state’s resilience economy, considering the best global practices. This will enable Ukraine not only to respond effectively to modern challenges but also to lay the foundation for long-term economic development and the strengthening of national security.