Transformation of Threats Assessments by NATO over the Last Three Years and Reshaping the Early Awareness
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8400529Keywords:
security environment, transformation of threats, sources of threats, Russian armed aggression, NATO, Ukraine, Euro-Atlantic security, early warning, intelligenceAbstract
Russian full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine provoked dramatic changes to the Euro-Atlantic security resulting into transformation of the threats assessment by NATO. Analysis of threats definition at the Alliance Summits over the previous three years – in Brussels 2021, Madrid 2022, and Vilnius 2023, shows the main changes in assessments of threats and their sources that was not fully predictable. Therefore, the early warning mechanism has to be reshaped to react better on changes of the security situation and provide decision makers with necessary information. Intelligence plays the key role in early warning and should be ready to identify any signs of new threats and their sources ensuring preventive reaction to them.
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